November 29, 2008 (The date of publication in Russian)
Dynamic of tension around India and Pakistan is becoming tragically predictable
A WELL EXPECTED TRAGEDY
Last week’s terrorist act in Bombay, impressing with its scale, coordination of attacks, and international repercussions, follows the logic of "the society of performance". It serves as a justification for an international invasion into Pakistan; as an essential element of war-mongering in South Asia; as a strategy of tension in the tetragon of Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, and China. This assault is a pretty predictable move in the chess game, pursing export of instability, started earlier with the "Islamist" assassination of ex-Pakistani Premier Benazir Bhutto.
The initiative of expanding the "anti-terrorist" warfare from Afghanistan to Pakistan has been discussed in George W. Bush's administration, and emphatically shared by elected President Barack Obama. The intention to spread "democracy" to Pakistan has also been expressed by Britain's Foreign Secretary David Miliband. In his comments, Lyndon LaRouche reminds about the recent trip of George Soros to Pakistan, also indicating that at least two of captured terrorists were citizens of Britain.
The immediate objective of the Anglo-American strategy is to impose control on Pakistan's nuclear arsenal. Latest subversive activity reveals the intention to annihilate Pakistan as a "failed state". By these means, China is supposed to lose its Navy base in Gwadar and access to the Indian Ocean, while transport of oil from the Gulf and from Iran can be intercepted both by US and Indian Navy. Therefore, the currently instigated Indo-Pakistani war is likely to transform into an Indo-Chinese conflict.
We have already mentioned that Washington intends to make India its key ally in South Asia and a counterbalance to China. This game started with pressure upon New Delhi in military trade. Washington's proposal to purchase Hitty Hawk carrier instead of Russia's Admiral Gorshkov, as well as the prospects of selling US-made nuclear plants (1.5 times more powerful that Russia's VVER 1000), is only the beginning of the big chess game. Most probably, the Pentagon will now insist that India purchase US anti-submarine technique and aerial tankers for India's Navy and Air Forces – which had lately rejected the Russia-produced Sea Kite system, and refused to modernize IL-30 aircrafts. The next proposals to be expected are new surface ships and assistance in nuclear submarine fleet.
The game plan extends much further. A wildfire of chaos and violence, emerging on the territories of Afghanistan and Pakistan, would inevitably spread across post-Soviet Central Asia, providing the possibility to repeatedly deploy and reinforce its bases in this region Ц which already implies a move for control over hydrocarbon resources of Eurasia and their transport to the growing markets of China, as well as India.
The announced plan of Washington and New Delhi to expand nuclear and military technological cooperation is a prelude to a massive missile assault on a destabilized Pakistan. Shortly before the elections, Joe Biden predicted a new crisis of international scale. During the last month, Hinduist extremists attacked Moslems in Calcutta, and now, the nightmare reached Mumbai.
The assault reminds of the September 1, 2005 terrorist operation in Beslan, North Ossetia. Similarly, it is launched in a non-Islamic territory of the target country. It is noteworthy that Mumbai is the center of high tech industry, outsourced to the city by major Western corporations Ц particularly focused on software production. The major targets are tourists from well-to-do states. Curiously, the version that the terrorists are backed by Islamabad surfaced immediately Ц though neither Pakistan s leadership, nor even its controversial intelligence service, ISI, is a bit interested in these new tensions, creating new problems for the country that is already severely affected by the economic crisis.
Thus, the authors of the "Bloody Bombay" operation rely upon not only the most bitter resentment of the Hindu against the Pakistani but also upon the broadest repercussions of the terrorist act in the global public opinion Ц a typical modern reality show.
RAKING UP A HOTBED
The flames of a new Asian war are being enkindled deliberately and skillfully. It is too convenient to wage war with the hands of "inferior" peoples, leaving pinpoint attacks and high tech operations to the United States.
It is noteworthy that the process is spreading also to the area of the African Horn where Somalian pirates freely operate, capturing supertankers filled with Gulf oil with no regard of US Navy ships.
For solving this problem, technologies of 1930s are pretty sufficient. A soldier of Japan's imperial army would be amazed with the fact that the world's leading naval powers carelessly countenance with the sea plunder. Only in the last month, robbers have captured over 100 ships.
The Japanese army would exterminate all the pirate speedboats in a matter of days, while artillery would smash local villages into dust, not speaking of ports. Today, the major base of robbers is no secret: it is located in Harragere ports, where captured vessels can be seen from a helicopter. Is it so hard to get rid of this calamity, possessing a Navy of the XXI century, and being able to launch attack helicopters even from minor ships?
Obviously, US strategists are interested in tension in this region as well. Targeting the crossroads of sea routes of oil transportation from the Gulf to the Suez Canal, as well as to South-Eastern Asia, it is convenient to pressure the economy of rivals. Astonishingly, fairy tales about elusive gangsters are taken for granted by the public across the globe. This convenient indifference arouses nausea.
This indifference of the Western public will once end in severe retribution. In the nearest future, a heavy toll is going to be paid by the Hindu, who are going to be plunged into an even more terrible misery with the cynically mastered religious warfare, with a prospect of a nuclear strike Ц with the only purpose of organizing a number of Hiroshimas in Pakistan. The whole region is going to suffer from epidemics, unemployment, and lack of fresh water. This horrible development could be prevented by Russians Ц but that is a subject of another article.
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